NEUE INDIKATOREN - Autor: Hans Peter Arnold (BILANZ; 7.9.2012)
Ausführlicher Bericht

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SIEHE ORIGINAL-VERSION IN BILANZ:

Update: 2 March 2013: GOOGLE AND NOWCASTING:
STUDIES AND WORKING PAPERS (see at the end of the text)



NEUE INDIKATOREN - Autor: Hans Peter Arnold (BILANZ; 7.9.2012)
Ausführlicher Bericht: http://4trend.blogspot.ch/p/der-zeit-voraus.html

SIEHE ORIGINAL-VERSION IN BILANZ:
http://www.bilanz.ch/invest/indikatoren-der-zeit-voraus
http://www.bilanz.ch/invest/indikatoren-vom-zufall-bestimmt


GOOGLE AND NOWCASTING:
STUDIES AND WORKING PAPERS

 Concha Artola & Enrique Galán (2012): Tracking the future on the web: Construction of leading indicators using internet searches (DocumentosOcasionales; N. º 1203):

Hyunyoung Choi and Hal Varian (2009): "Predicting the Present with Google Trends", Google Research Blog:http://googleresearch.blogspot.ch/2009/04/predicting-present-with-google-trends.html

Hyunyoung Choi and Hal Varian (2009): "Predicting Initial Claims for Unemployment Benefits", Google Research Blog. Based on "Insights for Search":http://static.googleusercontent.com/external_content/untrusted_dlcp/research.google.com/en//archive/papers/initialclaimsUS.pdf

Nick McLaren and Rachana Shanbhogue, Bank of England (2011): Using internet search data as economic indicatorshttp://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Documents/quarterlybulletin/qb110206.pdf

Stacey Boyd (2012): Uncertainty: Models and Impacts - Efficiency enhancers allow for near-real-time uncertainty modeling:

Matt Mohebbi, Dan Vander Kam, Julia Kodysh, Rob Schonberger, Hyunyoung Choi & Sanjiv Kumar (2011) - Google Correlate White Paper:

Troy Gill, Dilhan Perera and David Sunner (2012): Electronic Indicators of Economic Activity, in Bulletin of the Reserve Bank of Australia: http://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2012/jun/1.html

Rhine-Westphalia Institute for Economic Research (RWI) 2010: Analysis and forecast of savings and consumption behavior of households. RWI project reports: http://www.rwi-essen.de/media/content/pages/publikationen/rwi-projektberichte/PB_Spar-und-Konsumverhalten.pdf  

Torsten Schmidt & Vosen Simeon (2010): A Monthly Consumption Indicator for Germany Based on Internet Search Query Data. Ruhr Economic Papers # 208th RWI:
  
Torsten Schmidt & Vosen Simeon (2009): Forecasting Private Consumption - Survey-based indicators vs. Google Trends. Ruhr Economic Papers # 155th RWI:

RWI Indicator: Consumption Indicator Project (2012):